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Month: April 2019

Smoke and Mirrors: How Snap and Pinterest Hide User Attrition

Social media companies today are using smoke and mirrors to hide an important key metric. I’m going to pick on Pinterest first because the social media company recently revealed these issues in its S-1 Filing, and meanwhile, Pinterest stock saw a 25% pop on the day of its public debut. To be fair, this 25% IPO pop pales in comparison to Snap’s 135% stock price increase from December lows. My best guess is that investors are hoping for the next Facebook, or perhaps they aren’t reading beyond the financials, which are on page 13 of the prospectus, compared to the…

Zoom May Be the Best Silicon Valley IPO of the Year

This post originally appeared on on April 16th, 2019. Beth later appeared on Yahoo Finance discussing this analysis.  This may be hard to believe, but on Thursday, Silicon Valley will have a company go public that is already profitable. If you’ve used Cisco’s Webex for meetings, then you’ll understand Zoom. The company provides web conferencing that is simple for users to join and has a lot of features to assist in virtual meetings. Zoom has a “bottoms-up” viral customer base, which means junior employees evangelize the service at the company. These are often some of the most loyal customers.…

Alphabet Stock: Keep a Close Eye on Third-Party Ads

Towards the end of March, AdWeek broke the news that “Google Mulls Third-Party Ad-Targeting Restrictions.” Criteo’s stock dropped 30% and TradeDesk saw a 15% drop while Alphabet’s stock showed the least impact at 5%. I believe the market did not fully understand the implications of what advertising experts and insiders had leaked to AdWeek. It is my prediction Alphabet will have to let go of roughly $5 billion in quarterly revenue if the company aims to become a leader in artificial intelligence and sensitive data.

Nvidia Versus Xilinx: Heavy Hitter AI Stocks

This week, I revisited Nvidia for the first time since the crypto bust. If you’re a regular reader of mine, then you’ll remember that I defended Nvidia as having a strong fundamental story due to their developer following and the GPU-powered cloud. We’ve seen the GPU-powered cloud story take shape with the recent acquisition of Mellanox. However, no analysis on Nvidia would be complete without a discussion on Xilinx, which is what I wrote about this week.

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