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Month: November 2019

Alteryx Stock Price: More Downside Before Taking Off

After soaring 147% to reach an all-time high of $147 per share, Alteryx’s stock price has been on a freefall and is currently trading around $98. Alteryx (AYX) fell victim to the cloud sell-off, which happened as the result of nose bleed valuations popping due to heightened recession fears. Other SAAS companies like Slack, Zoom Video, and Twilio have been declining as well, and so far with no end in sight. What’s interesting is that the Alteryx stock price declined even as the company did everything right. In other words, when a growth company in a hyper growth sector has…

Top Momentum Stocks Affected by Cash Rotation in Q3

It has been a difficult quarter for many top momentum stocks like Slack (WORK), Veeva Systems (VEEV), Alteryx (AYX) and Zoom Communications (ZM). The companies have continued to execute well but their stock prices have declined. These companies reported better-than-expected third quarter earnings, impressive growth, and boosted their forward guidance. In an analysis in MarketWatch this week, I reviewed why Momentum stocks are down and I look beyond the assumption it’s due to a “value rotation.” Instead, as I point out, there is a lot of volume that suggests institutional selling directly after earnings reports. This volume in momentum stocks…

Roku’s Stock Price: Will There Be Another Pullback?

Roku’s stock price is up by almost 500% over the past two years. Compare this to the S&P 500, which is up less than 25%. That’s 20X more returns than the average stock. The upward trend has not been on a straight line. Roku’s stock price has had four major drawdowns that average about 52%. Two of these drawdowns were greater than 60%. Being long a volatile company like Roku since its IPO is not easy, and it especially takes increased conviction to stay long Roku as we approach the end of the current cycle. However, for those that were…

Apple’s Stock Price is at Inflection Point

As Apple’s stock price powers to new highs, returning over 60% YTD and touting the highest market cap in history, now might be a good time for investors to reflect as Apple trades at resistance. With upwards of $260 billion in revenue, a profit margin of 22%, Apple is a cash-generating machine. It produces around $50-$60 billion in free cash flow annually, with reserves of over $100 billion. It is extremely kind to shareholders, with one of the largest buyback programs on the Street. In fact, Apple has spent around $120 billion in stock buybacks since the beginning of 2018,…

Roku Q3 Earnings: Choppy But Unshakeable Long-Term

Roku is a company that has proven nearly every bearish prediction wrong with consistent revenue growth despite being surrounded by steep competition and tech heavyweights in over-the-top media. Roku investors that have been long since its IPO have lived through three fifty-percent drawdowns. Therefore, the reaction to earnings this quarter was unlikely to phase anyone who has followed this stock for any length of time. I encouraged my readers to not be phased by market reactions when Roku was priced at $30, when it was priced at $60, and when it was priced again at $30. During that sell-off, I…

Apple is Not a Growth Company Anymore

I grew critical of Apple earlier this year when it became clear the company would decline in revenue year-over-year, yet investors and analysts alike continued to pump the stock. With yesterday’s earnings report, we have further confirmation that Apple is not a growth company anymore although it continues to trade at growth valuations. While many celebrated yesterday’s earnings report, there were notable signs of erosion. To start, Apple has lost $5 billion in revenue year-over-year, from $265 billion to $260 billion. This is despite having the “best fourth quarter ever,” according to Tim Cook. The truth is that the EPS…